{"id":17968,"date":"2025-06-22T17:21:43","date_gmt":"2025-06-22T15:21:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kivuavenir.com\/sw\/?p=17968"},"modified":"2025-06-23T10:02:53","modified_gmt":"2025-06-23T08:02:53","slug":"rdc-nchi-iko-ukingoni-mwa-kulipuka-kutafuta-suluhisho-la-mgogoro-wa-kongo-kwa-kusaini-na-rwanda-ni-kupotea-njia-kikaya-bin-karubi-atoa-onyo-kali-kuhusu-mwelekeo-wa-nchi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kivuavenir.com\/sw\/rdc-nchi-iko-ukingoni-mwa-kulipuka-kutafuta-suluhisho-la-mgogoro-wa-kongo-kwa-kusaini-na-rwanda-ni-kupotea-njia-kikaya-bin-karubi-atoa-onyo-kali-kuhusu-mwelekeo-wa-nchi\/","title":{"rendered":"RDC: \u201cNchi iko ukingoni mwa kulipuka. Kutafuta suluhisho la mgogoro wa Kongo kwa kusaini na Rwanda ni kupotea njia\u201d \u2013 Kikaya bin Karubi atoa onyo kali kuhusu mwelekeo wa nchi, akifichua msimamo wa Kabila juu ya M23"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Kikaya, aliyekuwa balozi wa Kongo nchini Uingereza na mshauri wa kidiplomasia wa Kabila kwa muda mrefu, alipewa jukumu la kufanya mawasiliano ya \u201ckijamii na kisiasa\u201d na baadhi ya wadau wa kimataifa mjini Washington. Hata hivyo, ujumbe alioutoa mbele ya vyombo vya habari ulifichua hali ya wasiwasi mkubwa ndani ya kambi ya Kabila kuhusu mwelekeo wa nchi.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cRDC iko katika hali ya hatari ya kupasuka kutoka ndani. Kukimbilia makubaliano na Rwanda, bila kushughulikia chanzo halisi cha mzozo \u2013 ambacho ni uvamizi, uporaji wa maliasili, na udhaifu wa taasisi zetu \u00a0ni sawa na kujidanganya. Historia haitusamehi kwa hilo,\u201d alisema Kikaya kwa msisitizo.<\/p>\n<h4>Kwa nini Kabila anakaa kimya kuhusu Rwanda?<\/h4>\n<p>Hili ndilo swali ambalo linaendelea kuwagawanya wachambuzi wa siasa za Kongo. Wakati viongozi wa sasa wa serikali ya F\u00e9lix Tshisekedi wakitoa matamko ya moja kwa moja dhidi ya Rwanda, Kabila amebaki kimya. Kikaya alijibu swali hili kwa umakini mkubwa:<\/p>\n<p>\u201cJoseph Kabila ni mtu wa vuguvugu la kimkakati. Anaamini katika mazungumzo ya ndani kwa ndani na sio kulaani hadharani. Ameishi changamoto za uongozi kwa miaka zaidi ya kumi, na anafahamu kuwa matatizo ya Kongo hayawezi kutatuliwa kwa kejeli au maneno makali,\u201d alisema.<\/p>\n<p>Lakini wachambuzi wengine wanaona kuwa ukimya huu wa Kabila huenda unahusiana na historia yake ya ushirikiano wa kisiasa na kijeshi na Rwanda katika kipindi chake cha uongozi, hasa mwanzoni mwa miaka ya 2000, wakati alipofikia makubaliano kadhaa ya usalama na Paul Kagame.<\/p>\n<h4>Msimamo wa Kabila kuhusu M23: Halisi au wa kisiasa?<\/h4>\n<p>Kwa mujibu wa Kikaya, Kabila hana uhusiano na waasi wa M23 na wala haungi mkono harakati zao. \u201cWale wanaodai kwamba yeye ni sehemu ya njama hiyo wanapotosha. Msimamo wake uko wazi: Kongo ni moja, haiwezi kugawanywa wala kudhibitiwa kwa kutumia silaha,\u201d aliongeza.<\/p>\n<p>Hata hivyo, wachunguzi wa kisiasa wanahoji kama ukimya huo ni ishara ya kupendelea upande mmoja au ni mkakati wa kujitenga na hali ya kisiasa ya sasa ili kulinda turathi yake ya kisiasa.<\/p>\n<h4>Diplomasia ya kivuli au maandalizi ya kurejea?<\/h4>\n<p>Wengine wanaona safari ya Kikaya Washington si tu kwa ajili ya \u201cmawasiliano\u201d, bali ni dalili ya harakati za Kabila kujiandaa kwa muktadha mpya wa kisiasa nchini, hasa wakati ambapo wananchi wengi wanazidi kutoridhishwa na namna serikali ya sasa inavyokabiliana na uasi mashariki mwa nchi.<\/p>\n<p>Kwa sasa, bado haijulikani iwapo Kabila atarudi tena kwenye ulingo wa kisiasa au ataendelea kuwa mtazamaji kimya wa mambo. Lakini kupitia ujumbe wa Kikaya, ujumbe umetumwa \u00a0ukimya wake haupaswi kuchukuliwa kuwa udhaifu, bali ni sehemu ya mkakati.<\/p>\n<p>Kauli za Kikaya bin Karubi zimefufua upya mjadala kuhusu nafasi ya Rwanda katika mgogoro wa Kivu, uhusiano wake na M23, na kwa kiasi kikubwa, nafasi ya Joseph Kabila katika siasa za sasa na za baadaye za DRC. Katika kipindi hiki kigumu, kila neno lina uzito \u00a0na kila ukimya, tafsiri.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kikaya, aliyekuwa balozi wa Kongo nchini Uingereza na mshauri wa kidiplomasia wa Kabila kwa muda mrefu, alipewa jukumu la kufanya mawasiliano ya \u201ckijamii na kisiasa\u201d na baadhi ya wadau wa kimataifa mjini Washington. Hata hivyo, ujumbe alioutoa mbele ya vyombo vya habari ulifichua hali ya wasiwasi mkubwa ndani ya kambi ya Kabila kuhusu mwelekeo wa [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":17971,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"format":"standard","override":[{"template":"1","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"float","share_float_style":"share-normal","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"1","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","post_calculate_word_method":"str_word_count","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"1","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"1","show_author_box":"0","show_post_related":"0","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-500","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","disable_ad":"0","subtitle":"Washington, Marekani \u2013 Kikaya bin Karubi awajiana na waandishi wa habari kabla ya kurejea Kinshasa, Kikaya bin Karubi, mshauri wa zamani wa Rais Joseph Kabila na mjumbe wake maalum nchini Marekani, ametangaza msimamo wake kuhusu hali tete ya usalama katika Jamhuri ya Kidemokrasia ya Kongo (RDC), huku akiikosoa vikali mikakati ya hivi karibuni ya kisiasa ya kutafuta usuluhisho wa mzozo kwa njia ya majadiliano na Rwanda."},"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"jnews_review":[],"enable_review":"","type":"percentage","name":"","summary":"","brand":"","sku":"","good":[],"bad":[],"score_override":"","override_value":"","rating":[],"price":[],"jnews_override_counter":{"view_counter_number":"0","share_counter_number":"0","like_counter_number":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"jnews_post_split":{"post_split":[{"template":"1","tag":"h2","numbering":"asc","mode":"normal","first":"0","enable_toc":"0","toc_type":"normal"}]},"footnotes":""},"categories":[5311,5314,5312,5317],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17968","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-international","category-news","category-justice","category-security"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kivuavenir.com\/sw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17968","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kivuavenir.com\/sw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kivuavenir.com\/sw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kivuavenir.com\/sw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kivuavenir.com\/sw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17968"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/kivuavenir.com\/sw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17968\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17974,"href":"https:\/\/kivuavenir.com\/sw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17968\/revisions\/17974"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kivuavenir.com\/sw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17971"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kivuavenir.com\/sw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17968"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kivuavenir.com\/sw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17968"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kivuavenir.com\/sw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17968"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}